Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 4.724201 5.122820 5.554304 6.058688 6.635485 7.278578 8.055577
2025-03-30 3.987174 4.515896 5.128334 5.900138 6.861539 8.040423 9.629611
2025-04-06 3.530379 4.110878 4.813555 5.745321 6.978516 8.602079 10.990096
2025-04-13 3.209001 3.813482 4.569576 5.612081 7.059799 9.081032 12.288137
2025-04-20 2.985100 3.607953 4.408809 5.550762 7.205530 9.643528 13.804024
2025-04-27 2.872648 3.531127 4.401643 5.686619 7.634370 10.678094 16.325503
2025-05-04 2.775611 3.463273 4.395271 5.815219 8.060484 11.776010 19.287083
2025-05-11 2.646649 3.340328 4.298677 5.795462 8.243914 12.492657 21.747158
2025-05-18 2.526347 3.220099 4.194648 5.750403 8.374152 13.131241 24.267899
2025-05-25 2.383842 3.059387 4.019485 5.576098 8.259529 13.284440 25.715302
2025-06-01 2.269593 2.932595 3.885837 5.455533 8.222537 13.580239 27.642767
2025-06-08 2.199095 2.864937 3.835839 5.465452 8.419167 14.388066 31.339895
2025-06-15 2.150341 2.830658 3.840595 5.578003 8.844476 15.838746 38.082768
2025-06-22 2.043151 2.704788 3.696667 5.426436 8.746264 16.096902 41.149498
2025-06-29 1.948041 2.592358 3.567083 5.288733 8.657990 16.362929 44.515520
2025-07-06 1.865035 2.494209 3.454291 5.170939 8.594563 16.678073 48.414662
2025-07-13 1.801525 2.422862 3.380387 5.116713 8.656705 17.338637 54.623750
2025-07-20 1.777191 2.410499 3.401180 5.236780 9.109895 19.206128 69.834155
2025-07-27 1.752812 2.396563 3.417996 5.350269 9.567244 21.264634 91.099991
2025-08-03 1.706312 2.345404 3.369084 5.332844 9.718613 22.429980 109.310094
2025-08-10 1.658899 2.290770 3.311267 5.293089 9.811085 23.440752 129.939869
2025-08-17 1.594962 2.207256 3.199984 5.139117 9.603421 23.336064 138.331672
2025-08-24 1.542379 2.140400 3.114816 5.032443 9.503658 23.613223 153.580632